2024 Oscar Predictions: See Who Will Get Best Picture — U.S. Study Results

Hollywood’s biggest ceremony is changing, with a more diverse voting pool. The 2024 Oscar race has strong contenders in Christopher Nolan’s ‘Oppenheimer’, Martin Scorsese’s ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’, and Greta Gerwig’s ’Barbie’. But which film will win? Let’s check what Internet users think.

Reputation House, an international reputation management agency, recently studied public sentiment from January 1 to February 20, 2024, predicting the likely winner of the 2024 Oscar for Best Picture. They looked at social media platforms like Instagram, YouTube, and Twitter to gather opinions from across the United States. The survey covered ten notable Best Picture nominees for 2024, including Oppenheimer, Barbie, Anatomy of a Fall, American Fiction, Killers of the Flower Moon, Maestro, Poor Things, Zone of Interest, Past Lives, and The Holdovers.

Films With Multiple Nominations

Oppenheimer — 13
Poor Things — 11
Killers of the Flower Moon — 10
Barbie — 8
Maestro — 7
American Fiction — 5
Anatomy of a Fall — 5
The Holdovers — 5
The Zone of Interest — 5

What Bookmakers Say?

According to bookmakers, there’s a unanimous view that Christopher Nolan’s ‘Oppenheimer’ stands as the top favorite in this category. The three-hour biopic, starring Cillian Murphy as the atomic bomb creator, has garnered the highest odds for a potential win. Following closely, the second spot is a tie between Yorgos Lanthimos’ comedy ‘Poor Things’ and the Christmas comedy drama ‘The Holdovers’.

Interestingly, in certain betting offices, Lanthimos’ fantasy film, featuring Emma Stone, Mark Ruffalo, and Willem Defoe, has higher odds, possibly influenced by its recognition at the Golden Lion Venice Film Festival in September 2023. Surprisingly, the most profitable movie of 2023, ‘Barbie’, secures the fourth position according to bookmakers. Justine Trieu’s crime drama ‘Anatomy of a Fall’, which clinched the Palme d’Or at Cannes, also makes a strong appearance in the top 5.

What Internet Users Think?

According to Reputation House’s data, Barbie is poised to win the Best Picture Oscar this year. Despite the negative reception towards the film, it continues to be the most talked-about as for now. Oppenheimer, which once engaged in the meme race with Barbie, is also a strong contender for the top spot. Users are actively supporting other films such as Poor Things and Anatomy of a Fall.

Among the key findings, Barbie emerged as the most discussed movie, capturing the attention of audiences in an impressive 42 states. The widespread appeal of Barbie was evident from Alabama to Wyoming, with notable mentions in states like California, Texas, New York, and Florida. Here is the full list of movies with total amounts of mention.

Movies ranked by total amount of mentions

Notably, Oklahoma defied the trend, expressing a strong preference for Martin Scorsese’s ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’, showcasing the diverse cinematic tastes across the nation. South Dakota and Vermont showed particular affection for ‘Poor Things,’ while ‘Oppenheimer’ claimed the spotlight in New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Despite regional variations, Barbie maintained its dominance as the frontrunner for the coveted Oscar for Best Picture, showcasing its broad and inclusive appeal.